Gold's Haven Bid Capped by Fed's Tightrope Act
While tech stocks rejoiced at the Fed's rate cut, gold's safe-haven status is regaining its shine amid doubts over how smoothly the central bank can navigate its policy pivot.
Lingering Soft Landing Skepticism Buoys Bullion
Though riskier assets cheered easier monetary policy, precious metals are signaling trepidation that economic turmoil could crash the nascent rally. Bond markets don't exactly scream "soft landing" for where the Fed goes after its first rate cut in over four years.
The upward drift in gold prices hints Wall Street remains unconvinced Powell can gracefully stick the dismount from atop aggressive tightening without sparking a growth slump. Cooling inflation without derailing expansion remains a daunting challenge.
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Gold Bugs Binge on Hedge Against Policy Errors
That's reviving gold's traditional haven appeal amid potential policy turbulence. After treading water during 2024's tightening cycle, futures now trade north of $2,600 as the "recession or not" debate rages.
Institutions and retail traders are piling in, viewing bullion as portfolio insulation against rate inflection point risks. Lingering economic jitters are catnip for dip-buying gold bugs.
Soft Landing to Cap Upside
However, gold's upside could be limited if the Fed can choreograph its intended economic rebalancing. Like other defensive exposures, bullion's luster is inversely tied to rebounding risk appetites.
A rejuvenated tech-led bull case, amplified by lower rates boosting future earnings models, could quickly undercut near-term gold upside. Precious metal traders must respect both sides as they await greater clarity on whether "immaculate disinflation" can be achieved.
For now, soft landing doubts are allowing the inflation hedge to regain its luster after spending 2024 in the shadows. But successful Fed cushioning could relegate gold back to the backseat as risk-on sentiment is renewed.
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